Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 953.437616 1087.447363 1239.581836 1426.340528 1651.152452 1915.250141 2252.245360
2025-01-12 742.947030 908.453205 1114.577717 1394.801738 1773.264133 2277.952157 3022.033136
2025-01-19 628.057661 800.080186 1026.548696 1354.604828 1831.941440 2525.571643 3659.598960
2025-01-26 579.301692 765.190221 1022.394580 1417.392226 2034.248072 3009.657463 4783.505915
2025-02-02 535.325263 728.268854 1006.403424 1455.126283 2200.202792 3471.114336 6024.931944
2025-02-09 500.304868 698.383649 994.432370 1493.730016 2371.045068 3979.407025 7547.951396
2025-02-16 461.561087 657.771025 959.745699 1488.024850 2461.601922 4361.524810 8971.112003
2025-02-23 439.087209 639.115884 956.401120 1533.149537 2651.617080 4989.272814 11271.077009
2025-03-02 415.701386 616.263520 942.889680 1557.142343 2804.541322 5583.353324 13828.704102
2025-03-09 388.839996 585.049429 911.518276 1542.938913 2875.819905 6012.560570 16183.540449
2025-03-16 361.547187 550.674955 871.011003 1505.313628 2889.124783 6304.790145 18301.186516
2025-03-23 345.037816 533.000665 858.010121 1519.580328 3020.653100 6947.228668 22203.532502
2025-03-30 318.854810 498.154512 813.384931 1469.627741 3007.664491 7233.001819 25172.632570
2025-04-06 296.835503 469.118241 777.206774 1433.628707 3025.156154 7632.423556 29218.559434
2025-04-13 276.684762 441.680239 741.165487 1392.475996 3020.329144 7963.822737 33401.569722
2025-04-20 270.852771 439.392208 752.759420 1457.475828 3309.978718 9414.188490 46599.312336
2025-04-27 262.520257 431.752885 752.959533 1496.614599 3540.757337 10797.945679 62946.236690
2025-05-04 254.866639 424.702042 753.512080 1536.651059 3786.894995 12409.439899 86699.950078
2025-05-11 243.488746 409.694033 736.250428 1530.733478 3892.026664 13497.837214 109871.897935
2025-05-18 237.651617 404.891003 739.797689 1577.547599 4181.688792 15677.746077 160048.418996
2025-05-25 230.332798 396.619912 735.104004 1602.444836 4407.419639 17746.951605 227255.588387
2025-06-01 220.434370 382.543975 716.511423 1587.705490 4490.293082 19111.298739 296109.166230
2025-06-08 209.447342 365.610047 690.250421 1548.667718 4474.723389 19892.730450 361665.302835